Model line
Virginia −23.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Virginia 99%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Virginia home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes Virginia a 23.2-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Georgia Tech offense vs Virginia defense
| Georgia Tech O | Stat | Virginia D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.6#30 | Tempo | #27766.5 |
| 50.0#234 | eFG% | #545.5 |
| 18.6#303 | TOV% | #25515.5 |
| 29.9#204 | ORB% | #10329.0 |
| 33.3#230 | FT rate | #12132.6 |
| 10.8#289 | Block% | #217.5 |
| 59.9#33 | Assist% | #11850.1 |
| 48.7#291 | 2P% | #644.6 |
| 35.1#107 | 3P% | #4331.3 |
| 71.1#234 | FT% | — |
| 33.2#313 | 3PA rate | #24437.9 |
Virginia offense vs Georgia Tech defense
| Virginia O | Stat | Georgia Tech D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#277 | Tempo | #3071.6 |
| 54.9#45 | eFG% | #9549.9 |
| 16.1#149 | TOV% | #24615.6 |
| 37.9#10 | ORB% | #18830.7 |
| 32.9#237 | FT rate | #15634.2 |
| 9.7#215 | Block% | #6911.4 |
| 58.7#47 | Assist% | #28956.3 |
| 55.2#54 | 2P% | #10450.1 |
| 36.3#48 | 3P% | #12433.1 |
| 73.1#167 | FT% | — |
| 46.5#40 | 3PA rate | #3944.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Georgia Tech
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Clemson44 | L 76–79 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | California94 | L 65–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Florida St.64 | L 71–80 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisville15 | L 70–87 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Virginia14 | L 68–94 |
Virginia
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Tennessee11 | L 72–79 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Wright St.150 | W 82–73 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Duke1 | L 70–74 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Miami FL13 | W 84–62 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | NC State54 | W 81–74 |
