Model line
Florida St. −7.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Florida St. 80%
Projected tempo
71.2
possessions
Site
Florida St. home
20%Win probability80%
The model makes Florida St. a 7.9-point favorite, winning about 80 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Notre Dame offense vs Florida St. defense
| Notre Dame O | Stat | Florida St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#258 | Tempo | #2771.8 |
| 52.3#133 | eFG% | #22752.2 |
| 17.0#202 | TOV% | #5119.0 |
| 31.2#159 | ORB% | #31934.1 |
| 34.1#205 | FT rate | #12332.7 |
| 8.8#135 | Block% | #6211.6 |
| 47.4#297 | Assist% | #27155.7 |
| 51.4#198 | 2P% | #22052.5 |
| 35.6#83 | 3P% | #22334.6 |
| 69.7#279 | FT% | — |
| 43.5#101 | 3PA rate | #3244.9 |
Florida St. offense vs Notre Dame defense
| Florida St. O | Stat | Notre Dame D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.8#27 | Tempo | #25866.7 |
| 52.3#132 | eFG% | #20251.8 |
| 15.2#80 | TOV% | #33814.0 |
| 30.8#171 | ORB% | #3026.7 |
| 34.7#190 | FT rate | #21536.2 |
| 12.8#353 | Block% | #3017.3 |
| 52.5#179 | Assist% | #26655.4 |
| 55.1#55 | 2P% | #26053.6 |
| 33.1#222 | 3P% | #13533.2 |
| 71.3#230 | FT% | — |
| 50.6#13 | 3PA rate | #1147.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Notre Dame
| Sun, Nov 1 | N | Villanova47 | W 74–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Boston College106 | L 69–77 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Stanford81 | L 78–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | NC State54 | W 96–90 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Duke1 | L 56–100 |
Florida St.
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Duke1 | L 79–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | California94 | W 95–89 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | SMU59 | W 91–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Pittsburgh79 | W 75–74 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Georgia Tech110 | W 80–71 |
