Model line
Syracuse −2.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Syracuse 61%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Syracuse home
39%Win probability61%
The model makes Syracuse a 2.7-point favorite, winning about 61 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
North Carolina offense vs Syracuse defense
| North Carolina O | Stat | Syracuse D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#159 | Tempo | #21167.8 |
| 54.3#57 | eFG% | #11950.3 |
| 13.9#20 | TOV% | #12817.4 |
| 31.2#158 | ORB% | #31233.6 |
| 37.1#126 | FT rate | #12032.6 |
| 9.1#152 | Block% | #615.4 |
| 57.2#69 | Assist% | #20253.0 |
| 56.5#38 | 2P% | #9349.8 |
| 34.2#164 | 3P% | #19134.1 |
| 68.2#320 | FT% | — |
| 42.2#132 | 3PA rate | #28935.9 |
Syracuse offense vs North Carolina defense
| Syracuse O | Stat | North Carolina D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.8#211 | Tempo | #15968.8 |
| 52.6#122 | eFG% | #4548.3 |
| 16.0#142 | TOV% | #34513.6 |
| 29.2#230 | ORB% | #6327.8 |
| 35.1#175 | FT rate | #323.8 |
| 7.9#55 | Block% | #2308.5 |
| 47.1#302 | Assist% | #6247.8 |
| 54.5#76 | 2P% | #1746.2 |
| 32.9#239 | 3P% | #23034.7 |
| 64.8#361 | FT% | — |
| 37.2#227 | 3PA rate | #26137.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
North Carolina
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | VCU53 | L 78–82 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Clemson44 | L 79–80 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Duke1 | L 61–76 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Clemson44 | W 67–63 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Virginia Tech48 | W 89–82 |
Syracuse
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | SMU59 | L 69–86 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Pittsburgh79 | L 69–71 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Louisville15 | L 62–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wake Forest82 | L 83–88 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | North Carolina39 | L 64–77 |
