Model line
California −5.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
California 71%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
California home
29%Win probability71%
The model makes California a 5.3-point favorite, winning about 71 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Stanford offense vs California defense
| Stanford O | Stat | California D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#204 | Tempo | #12669.3 |
| 51.7#165 | eFG% | #8949.8 |
| 15.5#107 | TOV% | #20816.2 |
| 32.3#114 | ORB% | #17030.2 |
| 35.7#162 | FT rate | #23637.0 |
| 9.4#180 | Block% | #2108.7 |
| 46.3#311 | Assist% | #27956.0 |
| 50.4#246 | 2P% | #20552.2 |
| 35.6#85 | 3P% | #3030.8 |
| 73.1#166 | FT% | — |
| 44.2#86 | 3PA rate | #12940.9 |
California offense vs Stanford defense
| California O | Stat | Stanford D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.3#126 | Tempo | #20467.9 |
| 52.7#112 | eFG% | #17251.2 |
| 15.2#77 | TOV% | #8618.3 |
| 25.9#324 | ORB% | #16630.1 |
| 36.8#135 | FT rate | #30540.3 |
| 11.3#321 | Block% | #13010.2 |
| 54.2#134 | Assist% | #842.7 |
| 50.8#217 | 2P% | #16851.5 |
| 36.9#30 | 3P% | #16733.7 |
| 77.8#21 | FT% | — |
| 42.9#115 | 3PA rate | #34233.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Stanford
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | West Virginia51 | L 77–82 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Pittsburgh79 | L 63–64 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | NC State54 | W 85–84 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Notre Dame72 | W 86–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | SMU59 | W 95–75 |
California
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | L 75–76 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Illinois Chicago105 | W 91–73 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Florida St.64 | L 89–95 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Wake Forest82 | L 73–80 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Georgia Tech110 | W 76–65 |
