Model line
Notre Dame −5.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Notre Dame 73%
Projected tempo
69.0
possessions
Site
Notre Dame home
27%Win probability73%
The model makes Notre Dame a 5.9-point favorite, winning about 73 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Pittsburgh offense vs Notre Dame defense
| Pittsburgh O | Stat | Notre Dame D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.6#338 | Tempo | #25866.7 |
| 51.0#194 | eFG% | #20251.8 |
| 17.3#223 | TOV% | #33814.0 |
| 33.9#71 | ORB% | #3026.7 |
| 30.4#300 | FT rate | #21536.2 |
| 9.2#159 | Block% | #3017.3 |
| 52.3#187 | Assist% | #26655.4 |
| 51.7#183 | 2P% | #26053.6 |
| 33.4#203 | 3P% | #13533.2 |
| 67.4#336 | FT% | — |
| 42.6#124 | 3PA rate | #1147.4 |
Notre Dame offense vs Pittsburgh defense
| Notre Dame O | Stat | Pittsburgh D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#258 | Tempo | #33864.6 |
| 52.3#133 | eFG% | #28153.4 |
| 17.0#202 | TOV% | #21516.2 |
| 31.2#159 | ORB% | #7028.1 |
| 34.1#205 | FT rate | #8330.9 |
| 8.8#135 | Block% | #1689.5 |
| 47.4#297 | Assist% | #16751.8 |
| 51.4#198 | 2P% | #26453.7 |
| 35.6#83 | 3P% | #25935.2 |
| 69.7#279 | FT% | — |
| 43.5#101 | 3PA rate | #12841.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Pittsburgh
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | NC State54 | L 88–98 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Stanford81 | W 64–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Syracuse76 | W 71–69 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Florida St.64 | L 74–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | California94 | W 72–56 |
Notre Dame
| Sun, Nov 1 | N | Villanova47 | W 74–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Boston College106 | L 69–77 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Stanford81 | L 78–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | NC State54 | W 96–90 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Duke1 | L 56–100 |
