Model line
Louisville −7.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Louisville 80%
Projected tempo
71.5
possessions
Site
Louisville home
20%Win probability80%
The model makes Louisville a 7.9-point favorite, winning about 80 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Miami FL offense vs Louisville defense
| Miami FL O | Stat | Louisville D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.3#129 | Tempo | #5371.0 |
| 55.5#30 | eFG% | #5348.7 |
| 16.1#145 | TOV% | #17316.7 |
| 37.1#16 | ORB% | #5027.5 |
| 37.8#107 | FT rate | #13133.0 |
| 10.3#261 | Block% | #1889.1 |
| 54.2#136 | Assist% | #9549.3 |
| 56.8#35 | 2P% | #6248.9 |
| 35.1#109 | 3P% | #7632.3 |
| 68.1#322 | FT% | — |
| 31.9#330 | 3PA rate | #18039.5 |
Louisville offense vs Miami FL defense
| Louisville O | Stat | Miami FL D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0#53 | Tempo | #12969.3 |
| 56.5#18 | eFG% | #18651.5 |
| 16.8#183 | TOV% | #9018.2 |
| 32.8#94 | ORB% | #2026.1 |
| 33.1#234 | FT rate | #4629.1 |
| 12.5#348 | Block% | #1459.9 |
| 59.6#37 | Assist% | #25254.9 |
| 59.4#12 | 2P% | #11250.3 |
| 36.0#58 | 3P% | #27435.4 |
| 76.1#49 | FT% | — |
| 52.9#4 | 3PA rate | #12341.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Miami FL
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Purdue29 | L 69–79 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Missouri34 | W 80–66 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Virginia14 | L 62–84 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Louisville15 | W 78–73 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Louisville15 | L 89–92 |
Louisville
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Michigan St.9 | L 69–77 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | South Florida92 | W 83–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Miami FL13 | L 73–78 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | SMU59 | W 62–58 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Miami FL13 | W 92–89 |
