Model line
Duke −9.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Duke 84%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
Boston College home
84%Win probability16%
The model makes Duke a 9.3-point favorite, winning about 84 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Duke offense vs Boston College defense
| Duke O | Stat | Boston College D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#243 | Tempo | #28266.3 |
| 56.6#14 | eFG% | #6248.9 |
| 15.9#128 | TOV% | #29314.9 |
| 38.3#5 | ORB% | #8928.6 |
| 37.9#104 | FT rate | #16634.6 |
| 9.3#161 | Block% | #6011.6 |
| 59.0#42 | Assist% | #8048.6 |
| 60.3#6 | 2P% | #8549.6 |
| 34.6#141 | 3P% | #5831.9 |
| 73.2#162 | FT% | — |
| 44.3#82 | 3PA rate | #19639.0 |
Boston College offense vs Duke defense
| Boston College O | Stat | Duke D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.3#282 | Tempo | #24367.0 |
| 47.0#337 | eFG% | #945.9 |
| 15.4#96 | TOV% | #11217.7 |
| 28.3#251 | ORB% | #824.9 |
| 32.4#250 | FT rate | #223.0 |
| 10.0#235 | Block% | #12110.3 |
| 47.4#295 | Assist% | #16251.7 |
| 49.1#277 | 2P% | #1446.0 |
| 29.4#347 | 3P% | #2130.5 |
| 65.3#358 | FT% | — |
| 42.4#128 | 3PA rate | #2945.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Duke
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Connecticut3 | L 72–73 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | St. John's25 | W 80–75 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | TCU50 | W 81–58 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Siena271 | W 71–65 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Virginia14 | W 74–70 |
Boston College
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Notre Dame72 | W 77–69 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Virginia Tech48 | L 63–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Miami FL13 | L 54–76 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Wake Forest82 | W 68–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | SMU59 | L 70–94 |
