Model line
Miami FL −6.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Miami FL 76%
Projected tempo
70.1
possessions
Site
Miami FL home
24%Win probability76%
The model makes Miami FL a 6.7-point favorite, winning about 76 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Virginia offense vs Miami FL defense
| Virginia O | Stat | Miami FL D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#277 | Tempo | #12969.3 |
| 54.9#45 | eFG% | #18651.5 |
| 16.1#149 | TOV% | #9018.2 |
| 37.9#10 | ORB% | #2026.1 |
| 32.9#237 | FT rate | #4629.1 |
| 9.7#215 | Block% | #1459.9 |
| 58.7#47 | Assist% | #25254.9 |
| 55.2#54 | 2P% | #11250.3 |
| 36.3#48 | 3P% | #27435.4 |
| 73.1#167 | FT% | — |
| 46.5#40 | 3PA rate | #12341.1 |
Miami FL offense vs Virginia defense
| Miami FL O | Stat | Virginia D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.3#129 | Tempo | #27766.5 |
| 55.5#30 | eFG% | #545.5 |
| 16.1#145 | TOV% | #25515.5 |
| 37.1#16 | ORB% | #10329.0 |
| 37.8#107 | FT rate | #12132.6 |
| 10.3#261 | Block% | #217.5 |
| 54.2#136 | Assist% | #11850.1 |
| 56.8#35 | 2P% | #644.6 |
| 35.1#109 | 3P% | #4331.3 |
| 68.1#322 | FT% | — |
| 31.9#330 | 3PA rate | #24437.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Virginia
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Tennessee11 | L 72–79 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Wright St.150 | W 82–73 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Duke1 | L 70–74 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Miami FL13 | W 84–62 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | NC State54 | W 81–74 |
Miami FL
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Purdue29 | L 69–79 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Missouri34 | W 80–66 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Virginia14 | L 62–84 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Louisville15 | W 78–73 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Louisville15 | L 89–92 |
