Model line
Wake Forest −5.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Wake Forest 73%
Projected tempo
71.9
possessions
Site
Wake Forest home
27%Win probability73%
The model makes Wake Forest a 5.9-point favorite, winning about 73 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Florida St. offense vs Wake Forest defense
| Florida St. O | Stat | Wake Forest D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.8#27 | Tempo | #12569.4 |
| 52.3#132 | eFG% | #20751.9 |
| 15.2#80 | TOV% | #11017.8 |
| 30.8#171 | ORB% | #30433.2 |
| 34.7#190 | FT rate | #20435.7 |
| 12.8#353 | Block% | #8711.1 |
| 52.5#179 | Assist% | #30057.1 |
| 55.1#55 | 2P% | #27553.9 |
| 33.1#222 | 3P% | #12233.0 |
| 71.3#230 | FT% | — |
| 50.6#13 | 3PA rate | #2046.4 |
Wake Forest offense vs Florida St. defense
| Wake Forest O | Stat | Florida St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#125 | Tempo | #2771.8 |
| 52.6#125 | eFG% | #22752.2 |
| 15.5#108 | TOV% | #5119.0 |
| 30.1#196 | ORB% | #31934.1 |
| 35.1#176 | FT rate | #12332.7 |
| 8.4#97 | Block% | #6211.6 |
| 53.5#152 | Assist% | #27155.7 |
| 53.8#91 | 2P% | #22052.5 |
| 34.2#167 | 3P% | #22334.6 |
| 77.9#20 | FT% | — |
| 44.0#91 | 3PA rate | #3244.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Florida St.
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Duke1 | L 79–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | California94 | W 95–89 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | SMU59 | W 91–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Pittsburgh79 | W 75–74 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Georgia Tech110 | W 80–71 |
Wake Forest
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | Illinois St.116 | L 75–78 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Navy290 | W 82–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Clemson44 | L 62–71 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Virginia Tech48 | W 95–89 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | California94 | W 80–73 |
