Model line
Virginia Tech −9.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Virginia Tech 83%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Virginia Tech home
17%Win probability83%
The model makes Virginia Tech a 9.2-point favorite, winning about 83 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
SMU offense vs Virginia Tech defense
| SMU O | Stat | Virginia Tech D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#72 | Tempo | #20867.9 |
| 55.6#28 | eFG% | #14850.8 |
| 15.7#116 | TOV% | #13617.2 |
| 35.4#37 | ORB% | #28732.6 |
| 30.4#301 | FT rate | #4128.8 |
| 7.5#33 | Block% | #2158.7 |
| 54.9#120 | Assist% | #4947.0 |
| 55.6#48 | 2P% | #28354.1 |
| 37.1#28 | 3P% | #2630.6 |
| 74.3#115 | FT% | — |
| 35.9#251 | 3PA rate | #17839.6 |
Virginia Tech offense vs SMU defense
| Virginia Tech O | Stat | SMU D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#208 | Tempo | #7270.6 |
| 52.2#143 | eFG% | #19151.6 |
| 14.9#58 | TOV% | #16816.8 |
| 31.9#130 | ORB% | #23531.6 |
| 34.0#211 | FT rate | #10832.1 |
| 9.3#170 | Block% | #9111.0 |
| 52.4#184 | Assist% | #34660.9 |
| 51.5#196 | 2P% | #19452.0 |
| 35.5#93 | 3P% | #18734.1 |
| 74.3#117 | FT% | — |
| 39.7#179 | 3PA rate | #947.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
SMU
| Wed, Mar 18 | N | Miami OH108 | L 79–89 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Louisville15 | L 58–62 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Syracuse76 | W 86–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Florida St.64 | L 78–91 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Miami FL13 | L 69–77 |
Virginia Tech
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Wake Forest82 | L 89–95 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Virginia14 | L 72–76 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Boston College106 | W 72–63 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | North Carolina39 | L 82–89 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Wake Forest82 | W 82–63 |
