Model line
Virginia −22.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Virginia 99%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Virginia home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes Virginia a 22.6-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Boston College offense vs Virginia defense
| Boston College O | Stat | Virginia D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.3#282 | Tempo | #27766.5 |
| 47.0#337 | eFG% | #545.5 |
| 15.4#96 | TOV% | #25515.5 |
| 28.3#251 | ORB% | #10329.0 |
| 32.4#250 | FT rate | #12132.6 |
| 10.0#235 | Block% | #217.5 |
| 47.4#295 | Assist% | #11850.1 |
| 49.1#277 | 2P% | #644.6 |
| 29.4#347 | 3P% | #4331.3 |
| 65.3#358 | FT% | — |
| 42.4#128 | 3PA rate | #24437.9 |
Virginia offense vs Boston College defense
| Virginia O | Stat | Boston College D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#277 | Tempo | #28266.3 |
| 54.9#45 | eFG% | #6248.9 |
| 16.1#149 | TOV% | #29314.9 |
| 37.9#10 | ORB% | #8928.6 |
| 32.9#237 | FT rate | #16634.6 |
| 9.7#215 | Block% | #6011.6 |
| 58.7#47 | Assist% | #8048.6 |
| 55.2#54 | 2P% | #8549.6 |
| 36.3#48 | 3P% | #5831.9 |
| 73.1#167 | FT% | — |
| 46.5#40 | 3PA rate | #19639.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Boston College
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Notre Dame72 | W 77–69 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Virginia Tech48 | L 63–72 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Miami FL13 | L 54–76 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Wake Forest82 | W 68–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | SMU59 | L 70–94 |
Virginia
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Tennessee11 | L 72–79 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Wright St.150 | W 82–73 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Duke1 | L 70–74 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Miami FL13 | W 84–62 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | NC State54 | W 81–74 |
