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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Notre Dame · #72 · ACC · 1–0Wake Forest · #82 · ACC · 0–0Tue, Jan 12 · 7:00 PM ETACC NetworkLJVM Coliseum · Winston-Salem, NC
Model line
Wake Forest −6.5
Win probability
Wake Forest 75%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Wake Forest home
25%Win probability75%

The model makes Wake Forest a 6.5-point favorite, winning about 75 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Notre Dame offense vs Wake Forest defense

Notre Dame OStatWake Forest D
66.7#258Tempo#12569.4
52.3#133eFG%#20751.9
17.0#202TOV%#11017.8
31.2#159ORB%#30433.2
34.1#205FT rate#20435.7
8.8#135Block%#8711.1
47.4#297Assist%#30057.1
51.4#1982P%#27553.9
35.6#833P%#12233.0
69.7#279FT%—
43.5#1013PA rate#2046.4

Wake Forest offense vs Notre Dame defense

Wake Forest OStatNotre Dame D
69.4#125Tempo#25866.7
52.6#125eFG%#20251.8
15.5#108TOV%#33814.0
30.1#196ORB%#3026.7
35.1#176FT rate#21536.2
8.4#97Block%#3017.3
53.5#152Assist%#26655.4
53.8#912P%#26053.6
34.2#1673P%#13533.2
77.9#20FT%—
44.0#913PA rate#1147.4

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Notre Dame

Sun, Nov 1NVillanova47W 74–72
Sat, Mar 7ABoston College106L 69–77
Wed, Mar 4HStanford81L 78–86
Sat, Feb 28HNC State54W 96–90
Tue, Feb 24HDuke1L 56–100

Wake Forest

Sun, Mar 22HIllinois St.116L 75–78
Wed, Mar 18HNavy290W 82–72
Wed, Mar 11NClemson44L 62–71
Tue, Mar 10NVirginia Tech48W 95–89
Sat, Mar 7HCalifornia94W 80–73