Model line
Notre Dame −4.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Notre Dame 68%
Projected tempo
69.8
possessions
Site
Notre Dame home
32%Win probability68%
The model makes Notre Dame a 4.5-point favorite, winning about 68 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Virginia Tech offense vs Notre Dame defense
| Virginia Tech O | Stat | Notre Dame D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#208 | Tempo | #25866.7 |
| 52.2#143 | eFG% | #20251.8 |
| 14.9#58 | TOV% | #33814.0 |
| 31.9#130 | ORB% | #3026.7 |
| 34.0#211 | FT rate | #21536.2 |
| 9.3#170 | Block% | #3017.3 |
| 52.4#184 | Assist% | #26655.4 |
| 51.5#196 | 2P% | #26053.6 |
| 35.5#93 | 3P% | #13533.2 |
| 74.3#117 | FT% | — |
| 39.7#179 | 3PA rate | #1147.4 |
Notre Dame offense vs Virginia Tech defense
| Notre Dame O | Stat | Virginia Tech D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#258 | Tempo | #20867.9 |
| 52.3#133 | eFG% | #14850.8 |
| 17.0#202 | TOV% | #13617.2 |
| 31.2#159 | ORB% | #28732.6 |
| 34.1#205 | FT rate | #4128.8 |
| 8.8#135 | Block% | #2158.7 |
| 47.4#297 | Assist% | #4947.0 |
| 51.4#198 | 2P% | #28354.1 |
| 35.6#83 | 3P% | #2630.6 |
| 69.7#279 | FT% | — |
| 43.5#101 | 3PA rate | #17839.6 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Virginia Tech
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Wake Forest82 | L 89–95 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Virginia14 | L 72–76 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Boston College106 | W 72–63 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | North Carolina39 | L 82–89 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Wake Forest82 | W 82–63 |
Notre Dame
| Sun, Nov 1 | N | Villanova47 | W 74–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Boston College106 | L 69–77 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Stanford81 | L 78–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | NC State54 | W 96–90 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Duke1 | L 56–100 |
