Model line
NC State −10.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
NC State 86%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
NC State home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes NC State a 10.1-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Pittsburgh offense vs NC State defense
| Pittsburgh O | Stat | NC State D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.6#338 | Tempo | #11569.5 |
| 51.0#194 | eFG% | #25452.7 |
| 17.3#223 | TOV% | #9118.2 |
| 33.9#71 | ORB% | #18230.5 |
| 30.4#300 | FT rate | #23236.9 |
| 9.2#159 | Block% | #10210.7 |
| 52.3#187 | Assist% | #9649.3 |
| 51.7#183 | 2P% | #20952.2 |
| 33.4#203 | 3P% | #28135.5 |
| 67.4#336 | FT% | — |
| 42.6#124 | 3PA rate | #3444.9 |
NC State offense vs Pittsburgh defense
| NC State O | Stat | Pittsburgh D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#115 | Tempo | #33864.6 |
| 55.0#40 | eFG% | #28153.4 |
| 13.1#10 | TOV% | #21516.2 |
| 28.2#258 | ORB% | #7028.1 |
| 35.1#174 | FT rate | #8330.9 |
| 9.4#177 | Block% | #1689.5 |
| 54.6#123 | Assist% | #16751.8 |
| 52.6#146 | 2P% | #26453.7 |
| 38.8#8 | 3P% | #25935.2 |
| 76.8#37 | FT% | — |
| 43.4#104 | 3PA rate | #12841.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Pittsburgh
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | NC State54 | L 88–98 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Stanford81 | W 64–63 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Syracuse76 | W 71–69 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Florida St.64 | L 74–75 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | California94 | W 72–56 |
NC State
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | Texas10 | L 66–68 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Virginia14 | L 74–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Pittsburgh79 | W 98–88 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Stanford81 | L 84–85 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Duke1 | L 64–93 |
