Model line
SMU −10.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
SMU 86%
Projected tempo
71.2
possessions
Site
SMU home
14%Win probability86%
The model makes SMU a 10.1-point favorite, winning about 86 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Wake Forest offense vs SMU defense
| Wake Forest O | Stat | SMU D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#125 | Tempo | #7270.6 |
| 52.6#125 | eFG% | #19151.6 |
| 15.5#108 | TOV% | #16816.8 |
| 30.1#196 | ORB% | #23531.6 |
| 35.1#176 | FT rate | #10832.1 |
| 8.4#97 | Block% | #9111.0 |
| 53.5#152 | Assist% | #34660.9 |
| 53.8#91 | 2P% | #19452.0 |
| 34.2#167 | 3P% | #18734.1 |
| 77.9#20 | FT% | — |
| 44.0#91 | 3PA rate | #947.7 |
SMU offense vs Wake Forest defense
| SMU O | Stat | Wake Forest D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.6#72 | Tempo | #12569.4 |
| 55.6#28 | eFG% | #20751.9 |
| 15.7#116 | TOV% | #11017.8 |
| 35.4#37 | ORB% | #30433.2 |
| 30.4#301 | FT rate | #20435.7 |
| 7.5#33 | Block% | #8711.1 |
| 54.9#120 | Assist% | #30057.1 |
| 55.6#48 | 2P% | #27553.9 |
| 37.1#28 | 3P% | #12233.0 |
| 74.3#115 | FT% | — |
| 35.9#251 | 3PA rate | #2046.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Wake Forest
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | Illinois St.116 | L 75–78 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Navy290 | W 82–72 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Clemson44 | L 62–71 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Virginia Tech48 | W 95–89 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | California94 | W 80–73 |
SMU
| Wed, Mar 18 | N | Miami OH108 | L 79–89 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Louisville15 | L 58–62 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Syracuse76 | W 86–69 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Florida St.64 | L 78–91 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Miami FL13 | L 69–77 |
