Model line
NC State −6.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
NC State 74%
Projected tempo
69.7
possessions
Site
NC State home
26%Win probability74%
The model makes NC State a 6.0-point favorite, winning about 74 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Clemson offense vs NC State defense
| Clemson O | Stat | NC State D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.1#331 | Tempo | #11569.5 |
| 52.6#118 | eFG% | #25452.7 |
| 14.0#22 | TOV% | #9118.2 |
| 28.1#260 | ORB% | #18230.5 |
| 36.7#138 | FT rate | #23236.9 |
| 10.1#245 | Block% | #10210.7 |
| 50.3#235 | Assist% | #9649.3 |
| 53.6#100 | 2P% | #20952.2 |
| 34.1#168 | 3P% | #28135.5 |
| 72.5#187 | FT% | — |
| 43.1#109 | 3PA rate | #3444.9 |
NC State offense vs Clemson defense
| NC State O | Stat | Clemson D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#115 | Tempo | #33165.1 |
| 55.0#40 | eFG% | #5748.8 |
| 13.1#10 | TOV% | #12417.4 |
| 28.2#258 | ORB% | #2126.3 |
| 35.1#174 | FT rate | #14633.9 |
| 9.4#177 | Block% | #1839.1 |
| 54.6#123 | Assist% | #3046.0 |
| 52.6#146 | 2P% | #6349.0 |
| 38.8#8 | 3P% | #8332.4 |
| 76.8#37 | FT% | — |
| 43.4#104 | 3PA rate | #6043.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Clemson
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Iowa41 | L 61–67 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Duke1 | L 61–73 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | North Carolina39 | W 80–79 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Wake Forest82 | W 71–62 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Georgia Tech110 | W 79–76 |
NC State
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | Texas10 | L 66–68 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Virginia14 | L 74–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Pittsburgh79 | W 98–88 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Stanford81 | L 84–85 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Duke1 | L 64–93 |
