Model line
Louisville −18.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Louisville 98%
Projected tempo
71.2
possessions
Site
Louisville home
3%Win probability98%
The model makes Louisville a 18.6-point favorite, winning about 98 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Stanford offense vs Louisville defense
| Stanford O | Stat | Louisville D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#204 | Tempo | #5371.0 |
| 51.7#165 | eFG% | #5348.7 |
| 15.5#107 | TOV% | #17316.7 |
| 32.3#114 | ORB% | #5027.5 |
| 35.7#162 | FT rate | #13133.0 |
| 9.4#180 | Block% | #1889.1 |
| 46.3#311 | Assist% | #9549.3 |
| 50.4#246 | 2P% | #6248.9 |
| 35.6#85 | 3P% | #7632.3 |
| 73.1#166 | FT% | — |
| 44.2#86 | 3PA rate | #18039.5 |
Louisville offense vs Stanford defense
| Louisville O | Stat | Stanford D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0#53 | Tempo | #20467.9 |
| 56.5#18 | eFG% | #17251.2 |
| 16.8#183 | TOV% | #8618.3 |
| 32.8#94 | ORB% | #16630.1 |
| 33.1#234 | FT rate | #30540.3 |
| 12.5#348 | Block% | #13010.2 |
| 59.6#37 | Assist% | #842.7 |
| 59.4#12 | 2P% | #16851.5 |
| 36.0#58 | 3P% | #16733.7 |
| 76.1#49 | FT% | — |
| 52.9#4 | 3PA rate | #34233.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Stanford
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | West Virginia51 | L 77–82 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Pittsburgh79 | L 63–64 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | NC State54 | W 85–84 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Notre Dame72 | W 86–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | SMU59 | W 95–75 |
Louisville
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Michigan St.9 | L 69–77 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | South Florida92 | W 83–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Miami FL13 | L 73–78 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | SMU59 | W 62–58 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Miami FL13 | W 92–89 |
