Model line
Virginia Tech −3.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Virginia Tech 62%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Virginia Tech home
38%Win probability62%
The model makes Virginia Tech a 3.0-point favorite, winning about 62 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Louisville offense vs Virginia Tech defense
| Louisville O | Stat | Virginia Tech D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.0#53 | Tempo | #20867.9 |
| 56.5#18 | eFG% | #14850.8 |
| 16.8#183 | TOV% | #13617.2 |
| 32.8#94 | ORB% | #28732.6 |
| 33.1#234 | FT rate | #4128.8 |
| 12.5#348 | Block% | #2158.7 |
| 59.6#37 | Assist% | #4947.0 |
| 59.4#12 | 2P% | #28354.1 |
| 36.0#58 | 3P% | #2630.6 |
| 76.1#49 | FT% | — |
| 52.9#4 | 3PA rate | #17839.6 |
Virginia Tech offense vs Louisville defense
| Virginia Tech O | Stat | Louisville D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#208 | Tempo | #5371.0 |
| 52.2#143 | eFG% | #5348.7 |
| 14.9#58 | TOV% | #17316.7 |
| 31.9#130 | ORB% | #5027.5 |
| 34.0#211 | FT rate | #13133.0 |
| 9.3#170 | Block% | #1889.1 |
| 52.4#184 | Assist% | #9549.3 |
| 51.5#196 | 2P% | #6248.9 |
| 35.5#93 | 3P% | #7632.3 |
| 74.3#117 | FT% | — |
| 39.7#179 | 3PA rate | #18039.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Louisville
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Michigan St.9 | L 69–77 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | South Florida92 | W 83–79 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Miami FL13 | L 73–78 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | SMU59 | W 62–58 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Miami FL13 | W 92–89 |
Virginia Tech
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Wake Forest82 | L 89–95 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Virginia14 | L 72–76 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Boston College106 | W 72–63 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | North Carolina39 | L 82–89 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Wake Forest82 | W 82–63 |
