Model line
Duke −9.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Duke 85%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
Georgia Tech home
85%Win probability15%
The model makes Duke a 9.9-point favorite, winning about 85 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Duke offense vs Georgia Tech defense
| Duke O | Stat | Georgia Tech D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.0#243 | Tempo | #3071.6 |
| 56.6#14 | eFG% | #9549.9 |
| 15.9#128 | TOV% | #24615.6 |
| 38.3#5 | ORB% | #18830.7 |
| 37.9#104 | FT rate | #15634.2 |
| 9.3#161 | Block% | #6911.4 |
| 59.0#42 | Assist% | #28956.3 |
| 60.3#6 | 2P% | #10450.1 |
| 34.6#141 | 3P% | #12433.1 |
| 73.2#162 | FT% | — |
| 44.3#82 | 3PA rate | #3944.4 |
Georgia Tech offense vs Duke defense
| Georgia Tech O | Stat | Duke D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.6#30 | Tempo | #24367.0 |
| 50.0#234 | eFG% | #945.9 |
| 18.6#303 | TOV% | #11217.7 |
| 29.9#204 | ORB% | #824.9 |
| 33.3#230 | FT rate | #223.0 |
| 10.8#289 | Block% | #12110.3 |
| 59.9#33 | Assist% | #16251.7 |
| 48.7#291 | 2P% | #1446.0 |
| 35.1#107 | 3P% | #2130.5 |
| 71.1#234 | FT% | — |
| 33.2#313 | 3PA rate | #2945.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Duke
| Sun, Mar 29 | N | Connecticut3 | L 72–73 |
| Fri, Mar 27 | N | St. John's25 | W 80–75 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | TCU50 | W 81–58 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Siena271 | W 71–65 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Virginia14 | W 74–70 |
Georgia Tech
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Clemson44 | L 76–79 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | California94 | L 65–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Florida St.64 | L 71–80 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Louisville15 | L 70–87 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Virginia14 | L 68–94 |
