Model line
Notre Dame −6.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Notre Dame 76%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
Notre Dame home
24%Win probability76%
The model makes Notre Dame a 6.8-point favorite, winning about 76 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Stanford offense vs Notre Dame defense
| Stanford O | Stat | Notre Dame D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#204 | Tempo | #25866.7 |
| 51.7#165 | eFG% | #20251.8 |
| 15.5#107 | TOV% | #33814.0 |
| 32.3#114 | ORB% | #3026.7 |
| 35.7#162 | FT rate | #21536.2 |
| 9.4#180 | Block% | #3017.3 |
| 46.3#311 | Assist% | #26655.4 |
| 50.4#246 | 2P% | #26053.6 |
| 35.6#85 | 3P% | #13533.2 |
| 73.1#166 | FT% | — |
| 44.2#86 | 3PA rate | #1147.4 |
Notre Dame offense vs Stanford defense
| Notre Dame O | Stat | Stanford D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#258 | Tempo | #20467.9 |
| 52.3#133 | eFG% | #17251.2 |
| 17.0#202 | TOV% | #8618.3 |
| 31.2#159 | ORB% | #16630.1 |
| 34.1#205 | FT rate | #30540.3 |
| 8.8#135 | Block% | #13010.2 |
| 47.4#297 | Assist% | #842.7 |
| 51.4#198 | 2P% | #16851.5 |
| 35.6#83 | 3P% | #16733.7 |
| 69.7#279 | FT% | — |
| 43.5#101 | 3PA rate | #34233.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Stanford
| Thu, Apr 2 | N | West Virginia51 | L 77–82 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Pittsburgh79 | L 63–64 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | NC State54 | W 85–84 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Notre Dame72 | W 86–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | SMU59 | W 95–75 |
Notre Dame
| Sun, Nov 1 | N | Villanova47 | W 74–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Boston College106 | L 69–77 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | H | Stanford81 | L 78–86 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | NC State54 | W 96–90 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Duke1 | L 56–100 |
