Model line
Clemson −3.0
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Clemson 62%
Projected tempo
68.8
possessions
Site
Clemson home
38%Win probability62%
The model makes Clemson a 3.0-point favorite, winning about 62 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Virginia offense vs Clemson defense
| Virginia O | Stat | Clemson D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.5#277 | Tempo | #33165.1 |
| 54.9#45 | eFG% | #5748.8 |
| 16.1#149 | TOV% | #12417.4 |
| 37.9#10 | ORB% | #2126.3 |
| 32.9#237 | FT rate | #14633.9 |
| 9.7#215 | Block% | #1839.1 |
| 58.7#47 | Assist% | #3046.0 |
| 55.2#54 | 2P% | #6349.0 |
| 36.3#48 | 3P% | #8332.4 |
| 73.1#167 | FT% | — |
| 46.5#40 | 3PA rate | #6043.2 |
Clemson offense vs Virginia defense
| Clemson O | Stat | Virginia D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.1#331 | Tempo | #27766.5 |
| 52.6#118 | eFG% | #545.5 |
| 14.0#22 | TOV% | #25515.5 |
| 28.1#260 | ORB% | #10329.0 |
| 36.7#138 | FT rate | #12132.6 |
| 10.1#245 | Block% | #217.5 |
| 50.3#235 | Assist% | #11850.1 |
| 53.6#100 | 2P% | #644.6 |
| 34.1#168 | 3P% | #4331.3 |
| 72.5#187 | FT% | — |
| 43.1#109 | 3PA rate | #24437.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Virginia
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Tennessee11 | L 72–79 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Wright St.150 | W 82–73 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Duke1 | L 70–74 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Miami FL13 | W 84–62 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | NC State54 | W 81–74 |
Clemson
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Iowa41 | L 61–67 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Duke1 | L 61–73 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | North Carolina39 | W 80–79 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Wake Forest82 | W 71–62 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Georgia Tech110 | W 79–76 |
