Model line
Miami FL −12.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Miami FL 91%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
Miami FL home
9%Win probability91%
The model makes Miami FL a 12.5-point favorite, winning about 91 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
NC State offense vs Miami FL defense
| NC State O | Stat | Miami FL D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#115 | Tempo | #12969.3 |
| 55.0#40 | eFG% | #18651.5 |
| 13.1#10 | TOV% | #9018.2 |
| 28.2#258 | ORB% | #2026.1 |
| 35.1#174 | FT rate | #4629.1 |
| 9.4#177 | Block% | #1459.9 |
| 54.6#123 | Assist% | #25254.9 |
| 52.6#146 | 2P% | #11250.3 |
| 38.8#8 | 3P% | #27435.4 |
| 76.8#37 | FT% | — |
| 43.4#104 | 3PA rate | #12341.1 |
Miami FL offense vs NC State defense
| Miami FL O | Stat | NC State D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.3#129 | Tempo | #11569.5 |
| 55.5#30 | eFG% | #25452.7 |
| 16.1#145 | TOV% | #9118.2 |
| 37.1#16 | ORB% | #18230.5 |
| 37.8#107 | FT rate | #23236.9 |
| 10.3#261 | Block% | #10210.7 |
| 54.2#136 | Assist% | #9649.3 |
| 56.8#35 | 2P% | #20952.2 |
| 35.1#109 | 3P% | #28135.5 |
| 68.1#322 | FT% | — |
| 31.9#330 | 3PA rate | #3444.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
NC State
| Tue, Mar 17 | N | Texas10 | L 66–68 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Virginia14 | L 74–81 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Pittsburgh79 | W 98–88 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Stanford81 | L 84–85 |
| Mon, Mar 2 | H | Duke1 | L 64–93 |
Miami FL
| Sun, Mar 22 | N | Purdue29 | L 69–79 |
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Missouri34 | W 80–66 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Virginia14 | L 62–84 |
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Louisville15 | W 78–73 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Louisville15 | L 89–92 |
