Model line
Florida St. −8.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Florida St. 81%
Projected tempo
71.2
possessions
Site
Florida St. home
19%Win probability81%
The model makes Florida St. a 8.3-point favorite, winning about 81 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Syracuse offense vs Florida St. defense
| Syracuse O | Stat | Florida St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.8#211 | Tempo | #2771.8 |
| 52.6#122 | eFG% | #22752.2 |
| 16.0#142 | TOV% | #5119.0 |
| 29.2#230 | ORB% | #31934.1 |
| 35.1#175 | FT rate | #12332.7 |
| 7.9#55 | Block% | #6211.6 |
| 47.1#302 | Assist% | #27155.7 |
| 54.5#76 | 2P% | #22052.5 |
| 32.9#239 | 3P% | #22334.6 |
| 64.8#361 | FT% | — |
| 37.2#227 | 3PA rate | #3244.9 |
Florida St. offense vs Syracuse defense
| Florida St. O | Stat | Syracuse D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.8#27 | Tempo | #21167.8 |
| 52.3#132 | eFG% | #11950.3 |
| 15.2#80 | TOV% | #12817.4 |
| 30.8#171 | ORB% | #31233.6 |
| 34.7#190 | FT rate | #12032.6 |
| 12.8#353 | Block% | #615.4 |
| 52.5#179 | Assist% | #20253.0 |
| 55.1#55 | 2P% | #9349.8 |
| 33.1#222 | 3P% | #19134.1 |
| 71.3#230 | FT% | — |
| 50.6#13 | 3PA rate | #28935.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Syracuse
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | SMU59 | L 69–86 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Pittsburgh79 | L 69–71 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | A | Louisville15 | L 62–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Wake Forest82 | L 83–88 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | North Carolina39 | L 64–77 |
Florida St.
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Duke1 | L 79–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | California94 | W 95–89 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | SMU59 | W 91–78 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Pittsburgh79 | W 75–74 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Georgia Tech110 | W 80–71 |
