Model line
California −17.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
California 97%
Projected tempo
71.3
possessions
Site
California home
3%Win probability97%
The model makes California a 17.7-point favorite, winning about 97 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Northeastern offense vs California defense
| Northeastern O | Stat | California D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#104 | Tempo | #12669.3 |
| 52.4#128 | eFG% | #8949.8 |
| 16.4#159 | TOV% | #20816.2 |
| 27.3#287 | ORB% | #17030.2 |
| 29.4#324 | FT rate | #23637.0 |
| 9.5#187 | Block% | #2108.7 |
| 55.7#96 | Assist% | #27956.0 |
| 53.6#103 | 2P% | #20552.2 |
| 33.7#188 | 3P% | #3030.8 |
| 69.0#298 | FT% | — |
| 37.8#217 | 3PA rate | #12940.9 |
California offense vs Northeastern defense
| California O | Stat | Northeastern D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.3#126 | Tempo | #10469.7 |
| 52.7#112 | eFG% | #35156.4 |
| 15.2#77 | TOV% | #16716.8 |
| 25.9#324 | ORB% | #17430.2 |
| 36.8#135 | FT rate | #32041.9 |
| 11.3#321 | Block% | #2558.1 |
| 54.2#134 | Assist% | #11950.2 |
| 50.8#217 | 2P% | #35057.8 |
| 36.9#30 | 3P% | #29635.8 |
| 77.8#21 | FT% | — |
| 42.9#115 | 3PA rate | #31435.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Northeastern
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Drexel256 | L 77–84 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | North Carolina A&T300 | W 88–72 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Monmouth193 | L 83–89 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Hampton221 | L 65–76 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | William & Mary201 | L 77–84 |
California
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | L 75–76 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Illinois Chicago105 | W 91–73 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Florida St.64 | L 89–95 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Wake Forest82 | L 73–80 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Georgia Tech110 | W 76–65 |
