Model line
California −14.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
California 94%
Projected tempo
71.2
possessions
Site
California home
6%Win probability94%
The model makes California a 14.9-point favorite, winning about 94 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
UC Riverside offense vs California defense
| UC Riverside O | Stat | California D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.1#51 | Tempo | #12669.3 |
| 48.9#293 | eFG% | #8949.8 |
| 19.0#322 | TOV% | #20816.2 |
| 27.8#275 | ORB% | #17030.2 |
| 35.0#182 | FT rate | #23637.0 |
| 8.6#116 | Block% | #2108.7 |
| 49.7#248 | Assist% | #27956.0 |
| 49.9#259 | 2P% | #20552.2 |
| 31.6#304 | 3P% | #3030.8 |
| 74.2#123 | FT% | — |
| 38.3#206 | 3PA rate | #12940.9 |
California offense vs UC Riverside defense
| California O | Stat | UC Riverside D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.3#126 | Tempo | #5171.1 |
| 52.7#112 | eFG% | #25752.7 |
| 15.2#77 | TOV% | #25315.5 |
| 25.9#324 | ORB% | #16130.0 |
| 36.8#135 | FT rate | #31140.9 |
| 11.3#321 | Block% | #13110.1 |
| 54.2#134 | Assist% | #13350.7 |
| 50.8#217 | 2P% | #27053.8 |
| 36.9#30 | 3P% | #15833.5 |
| 77.8#21 | FT% | — |
| 42.9#115 | 3PA rate | #35731.7 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
UC Riverside
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Hawaii132 | L 74–93 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Cal St. Northridge190 | W 95–84 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | UC Santa Barbara101 | L 59–70 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | UC Davis188 | L 73–78 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Cal St. Bakersfield286 | W 93–65 |
California
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | L 75–76 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Illinois Chicago105 | W 91–73 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Florida St.64 | L 89–95 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Wake Forest82 | L 73–80 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Georgia Tech110 | W 76–65 |
