Model line
California −18.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
California 97%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
California home
3%Win probability97%
The model makes California a 18.2-point favorite, winning about 97 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Southeastern Louisiana offense vs California defense
| Southeastern Louisiana O | Stat | California D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.6#314 | Tempo | #12669.3 |
| 46.7#344 | eFG% | #8949.8 |
| 18.4#291 | TOV% | #20816.2 |
| 28.6#247 | ORB% | #17030.2 |
| 40.3#57 | FT rate | #23637.0 |
| 9.7#213 | Block% | #2108.7 |
| 51.6#201 | Assist% | #27956.0 |
| 49.4#275 | 2P% | #20552.2 |
| 28.4#362 | 3P% | #3030.8 |
| 68.4#316 | FT% | — |
| 39.5#182 | 3PA rate | #12940.9 |
California offense vs Southeastern Louisiana defense
| California O | Stat | Southeastern Louisiana D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.3#126 | Tempo | #31465.6 |
| 52.7#112 | eFG% | #23652.4 |
| 15.2#77 | TOV% | #4719.1 |
| 25.9#324 | ORB% | #22231.4 |
| 36.8#135 | FT rate | #31541.2 |
| 11.3#321 | Block% | #2458.3 |
| 54.2#134 | Assist% | #20153.0 |
| 50.8#217 | 2P% | #16151.4 |
| 36.9#30 | 3P% | #30536.0 |
| 77.8#21 | FT% | — |
| 42.9#115 | 3PA rate | #24237.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Southeastern Louisiana
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | LSU N Orleans | W 82–78 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Nicholls St.287 | L 60–68 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | H | Texas A&M Corpus Chris203 | L 68–73 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | UT Rio Grande Valley251 | L 75–96 |
| Mon, Feb 16 | A | Texas A&M Commerce323 | L 53–70 |
California
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | L 75–76 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Illinois Chicago105 | W 91–73 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Florida St.64 | L 89–95 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Wake Forest82 | L 73–80 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Georgia Tech110 | W 76–65 |
