Model line
Utah −8.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Utah 81%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Utah home
19%Win probability81%
The model makes Utah a 8.2-point favorite, winning about 81 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
California offense vs Utah defense
| California O | Stat | Utah D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.3#126 | Tempo | #20168.0 |
| 52.7#112 | eFG% | #29853.9 |
| 15.2#77 | TOV% | #34913.3 |
| 25.9#324 | ORB% | #23631.6 |
| 36.8#135 | FT rate | #5729.9 |
| 11.3#321 | Block% | #2418.4 |
| 54.2#134 | Assist% | #7248.2 |
| 50.8#217 | 2P% | #30254.6 |
| 36.9#30 | 3P% | #25435.1 |
| 77.8#21 | FT% | — |
| 42.9#115 | 3PA rate | #33733.8 |
Utah offense vs California defense
| Utah O | Stat | California D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.0#201 | Tempo | #12669.3 |
| 52.0#150 | eFG% | #8949.8 |
| 16.7#181 | TOV% | #20816.2 |
| 29.3#227 | ORB% | #17030.2 |
| 31.7#263 | FT rate | #23637.0 |
| 12.0#343 | Block% | #2108.7 |
| 51.7#197 | Assist% | #27956.0 |
| 51.5#195 | 2P% | #20552.2 |
| 35.3#102 | 3P% | #3030.8 |
| 73.8#144 | FT% | — |
| 37.5#222 | 3PA rate | #12940.9 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
California
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | L 75–76 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Illinois Chicago105 | W 91–73 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Florida St.64 | L 89–95 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Wake Forest82 | L 73–80 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Georgia Tech110 | W 76–65 |
Utah
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Cincinnati30 | L 66–73 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Baylor32 | L 75–101 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Colorado87 | L 78–92 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Arizona St.68 | L 60–73 |
| Tue, Feb 24 | H | Iowa St.6 | L 59–75 |
