Model line
California −21.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
California 99%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
California home
1%Win probability99%
The model makes California a 21.4-point favorite, winning about 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Alabama St. offense vs California defense
| Alabama St. O | Stat | California D |
|---|---|---|
| 71.3#38 | Tempo | #12669.3 |
| 47.1#333 | eFG% | #8949.8 |
| 18.3#286 | TOV% | #20816.2 |
| 31.9#126 | ORB% | #17030.2 |
| 34.9#183 | FT rate | #23637.0 |
| 11.0#299 | Block% | #2108.7 |
| 47.6#293 | Assist% | #27956.0 |
| 46.8#333 | 2P% | #20552.2 |
| 31.8#285 | 3P% | #3030.8 |
| 70.5#253 | FT% | — |
| 38.5#200 | 3PA rate | #12940.9 |
California offense vs Alabama St. defense
| California O | Stat | Alabama St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.3#126 | Tempo | #3871.3 |
| 52.7#112 | eFG% | #22252.2 |
| 15.2#77 | TOV% | #6018.7 |
| 25.9#324 | ORB% | #22631.5 |
| 36.8#135 | FT rate | #32742.3 |
| 11.3#321 | Block% | #8811.0 |
| 54.2#134 | Assist% | #25355.0 |
| 50.8#217 | 2P% | #22752.8 |
| 36.9#30 | 3P% | #19334.2 |
| 77.8#21 | FT% | — |
| 42.9#115 | 3PA rate | #14640.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Alabama St.
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Alcorn St.340 | L 65–77 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Grambling St.326 | L 63–65 |
| Tue, Mar 3 | H | Southern293 | L 64–71 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Alabama A&M313 | W 89–88 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Florida A&M317 | L 63–76 |
California
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | L 75–76 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Illinois Chicago105 | W 91–73 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Florida St.64 | L 89–95 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Wake Forest82 | L 73–80 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Georgia Tech110 | W 76–65 |
