Model line
Houston −12.4
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Houston 90%
Projected tempo
69.1
possessions
Site
Neutral
90%Win probability10%
The model makes Houston a 12.4-point favorite, winning about 90 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Houston offense vs California defense
| Houston O | Stat | California D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.9#332 | Tempo | #12669.3 |
| 52.2#138 | eFG% | #8949.8 |
| 12.9#5 | TOV% | #20816.2 |
| 36.0#26 | ORB% | #17030.2 |
| 27.0#351 | FT rate | #23637.0 |
| 6.3#6 | Block% | #2108.7 |
| 52.0#192 | Assist% | #27956.0 |
| 52.0#167 | 2P% | #20552.2 |
| 34.9#126 | 3P% | #3030.8 |
| 77.2#29 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#156 | 3PA rate | #12940.9 |
California offense vs Houston defense
| California O | Stat | Houston D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.3#126 | Tempo | #33264.9 |
| 52.7#112 | eFG% | #1246.0 |
| 15.2#77 | TOV% | #1320.7 |
| 25.9#324 | ORB% | #17230.2 |
| 36.8#135 | FT rate | #27738.6 |
| 11.3#321 | Block% | #3512.6 |
| 54.2#134 | Assist% | #21253.4 |
| 50.8#217 | 2P% | #945.2 |
| 36.9#30 | 3P% | #4531.4 |
| 77.8#21 | FT% | — |
| 42.9#115 | 3PA rate | #11341.4 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Houston
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Illinois7 | L 55–65 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Texas A&M33 | W 88–57 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Idaho238 | W 78–47 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Arizona5 | L 74–79 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Kansas8 | W 69–47 |
California
| Sun, Mar 22 | H | Saint Joseph's125 | L 75–76 |
| Wed, Mar 18 | H | Illinois Chicago105 | W 91–73 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Florida St.64 | L 89–95 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | A | Wake Forest82 | L 73–80 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | A | Georgia Tech110 | W 76–65 |
