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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

North Florida · #321 · ASun · 0–0Abilene Christian · #242 · UAC · 0–0Thu, Dec 31 · 4:00 PM ETESPN+Moody Coliseum (Abilene) · Abilene, TX
Model line
Abilene Christian −11.6
Win probability
Abilene Christian 89%
Projected tempo
71.9
possessions
Site
Abilene Christian home
11%Win probability89%

The model makes Abilene Christian a 11.6-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

North Florida offense vs Abilene Christian defense

North Florida OStatAbilene Christian D
72.0#25Tempo#15268.9
52.9#107eFG%#35256.5
17.9#265TOV%#223.4
25.2#335ORB%#10829.1
28.8#333FT rate#36553.5
12.6#352Block%#2897.5
50.6#229Assist%#12950.7
53.4#1112P%#28754.4
35.0#1183P%#36540.9
77.8#22FT%—
51.7#73PA rate#36030.0

Abilene Christian offense vs North Florida defense

Abilene Christian OStatNorth Florida D
68.9#152Tempo#2572.0
47.5#326eFG%#34956.3
20.8#355TOV%#36212.7
31.0#163ORB%#36137.6
41.7#35FT rate#9231.4
12.6#350Block%#3653.5
54.1#137Assist%#17452.2
48.0#3092P%#35858.7
31.0#3193P%#25135.1
70.4#256FT%—
32.8#3183PA rate#20339.0

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

North Florida

Wed, Mar 4NWest Georgia322L 85–93
Sat, Feb 28HJacksonville230L 61–85
Thu, Feb 26HFlorida Gulf Coast275W 76–70
Sat, Feb 21AStetson267L 71–76
Thu, Feb 19HAustin Peay195L 76–77

Abilene Christian

Thu, Mar 12NUtah Tech254L 74–80
Wed, Mar 11NTarleton St.178W 84–78
Sat, Mar 7HUT Arlington232L 57–64
Thu, Mar 5ACal Baptist216L 48–87
Sat, Feb 28AUtah Valley120L 67–74