Model line
Florida Gulf Coast −6.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Florida Gulf Coast 76%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
Florida Gulf Coast home
24%Win probability76%
The model makes Florida Gulf Coast a 6.8-point favorite, winning about 76 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Abilene Christian offense vs Florida Gulf Coast defense
| Abilene Christian O | Stat | Florida Gulf Coast D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.9#152 | Tempo | #14169.1 |
| 47.5#326 | eFG% | #27953.4 |
| 20.8#355 | TOV% | #18416.5 |
| 31.0#163 | ORB% | #7128.2 |
| 41.7#35 | FT rate | #26738.3 |
| 12.6#350 | Block% | #8311.1 |
| 54.1#137 | Assist% | #20953.3 |
| 48.0#309 | 2P% | #25853.6 |
| 31.0#319 | 3P% | #27235.4 |
| 70.4#256 | FT% | — |
| 32.8#318 | 3PA rate | #2246.2 |
Florida Gulf Coast offense vs Abilene Christian defense
| Florida Gulf Coast O | Stat | Abilene Christian D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1#141 | Tempo | #15268.9 |
| 52.0#145 | eFG% | #35256.5 |
| 15.9#130 | TOV% | #223.4 |
| 31.1#162 | ORB% | #10829.1 |
| 29.1#331 | FT rate | #36553.5 |
| 8.6#109 | Block% | #2897.5 |
| 52.0#191 | Assist% | #12950.7 |
| 53.3#116 | 2P% | #28754.4 |
| 33.2#216 | 3P% | #36540.9 |
| 72.1#202 | FT% | — |
| 38.4#202 | 3PA rate | #36030.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Abilene Christian
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Utah Tech254 | L 74–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Tarleton St.178 | W 84–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UT Arlington232 | L 57–64 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Cal Baptist216 | L 48–87 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Utah Valley120 | L 67–74 |
Florida Gulf Coast
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Central Arkansas177 | L 63–73 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Lipscomb199 | W 77–53 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | North Alabama315 | W 69–58 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Stetson267 | L 63–78 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | North Florida321 | L 70–76 |
