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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

South Dakota St. · #237 · Sum · 0–0Abilene Christian · #242 · UAC · 0–0Sat, Dec 5 · 7:00 PM ETESPN+Moody Coliseum (Abilene) · Abilene, TX
Model line
Abilene Christian −6.7
Win probability
Abilene Christian 76%
Projected tempo
70.8
possessions
Site
Abilene Christian home
24%Win probability76%

The model makes Abilene Christian a 6.7-point favorite, winning about 76 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

South Dakota St. offense vs Abilene Christian defense

South Dakota St. OStatAbilene Christian D
67.9#203Tempo#15268.9
52.0#148eFG%#35256.5
16.1#148TOV%#223.4
30.3#190ORB%#10829.1
29.7#319FT rate#36553.5
7.8#48Block%#2897.5
51.3#209Assist%#12950.7
52.7#1432P%#28754.4
34.0#1753P%#36540.9
72.0#208FT%—
38.8#1933PA rate#36030.0

Abilene Christian offense vs South Dakota St. defense

Abilene Christian OStatSouth Dakota St. D
68.9#152Tempo#20367.9
47.5#326eFG%#20351.8
20.8#355TOV%#32214.5
31.0#163ORB%#1125.1
41.7#35FT rate#16334.5
12.6#350Block%#3077.1
54.1#137Assist%#19152.7
48.0#3092P%#21752.4
31.0#3193P%#18934.1
70.4#256FT%—
32.8#3183PA rate#1347.0

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

South Dakota St.

Thu, Mar 5NSt. Thomas162L 67–80
Sat, Feb 28ASouth Dakota270L 70–75
Thu, Feb 26AKansas City292W 73–59
Sat, Feb 21HNorth Dakota328W 91–83
Wed, Feb 18HNorth Dakota St.170L 66–74

Abilene Christian

Thu, Mar 12NUtah Tech254L 74–80
Wed, Mar 11NTarleton St.178W 84–78
Sat, Mar 7HUT Arlington232L 57–64
Thu, Mar 5ACal Baptist216L 48–87
Sat, Feb 28AUtah Valley120L 67–74