Model line
Missouri St. −6.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Missouri St. 77%
Projected tempo
70.2
possessions
Site
Missouri St. home
23%Win probability77%
The model makes Missouri St. a 6.9-point favorite, winning about 77 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Abilene Christian offense vs Missouri St. defense
| Abilene Christian O | Stat | Missouri St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.9#152 | Tempo | #28366.3 |
| 47.5#326 | eFG% | #21152.0 |
| 20.8#355 | TOV% | #16016.9 |
| 31.0#163 | ORB% | #26132.1 |
| 41.7#35 | FT rate | #30440.2 |
| 12.6#350 | Block% | #2288.5 |
| 54.1#137 | Assist% | #10749.8 |
| 48.0#309 | 2P% | #21452.3 |
| 31.0#319 | 3P% | #21334.4 |
| 70.4#256 | FT% | — |
| 32.8#318 | 3PA rate | #29535.8 |
Missouri St. offense vs Abilene Christian defense
| Missouri St. O | Stat | Abilene Christian D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.3#283 | Tempo | #15268.9 |
| 51.1#190 | eFG% | #35256.5 |
| 16.7#176 | TOV% | #223.4 |
| 32.0#124 | ORB% | #10829.1 |
| 43.8#12 | FT rate | #36553.5 |
| 13.6#360 | Block% | #2897.5 |
| 56.6#76 | Assist% | #12950.7 |
| 52.2#164 | 2P% | #28754.4 |
| 33.0#229 | 3P% | #36540.9 |
| 67.3#340 | FT% | — |
| 41.3#143 | 3PA rate | #36030.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Abilene Christian
| Thu, Mar 12 | N | Utah Tech254 | L 74–80 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Tarleton St.178 | W 84–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | UT Arlington232 | L 57–64 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | A | Cal Baptist216 | L 48–87 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Utah Valley120 | L 67–74 |
Missouri St.
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Louisiana Tech282 | L 66–69 |
| Wed, Mar 11 | N | Liberty149 | W 77–69 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | FIU187 | W 75–72 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | H | Middle Tennessee160 | L 63–75 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | H | Western Kentucky119 | W 87–74 |
