Model line
Austin Peay −11.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Austin Peay 89%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
Austin Peay home
11%Win probability89%
The model makes Austin Peay a 11.8-point favorite, winning about 89 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Bellarmine offense vs Austin Peay defense
| Bellarmine O | Stat | Austin Peay D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.1#289 | Tempo | #8970.1 |
| 59.4#3 | eFG% | #22352.2 |
| 15.5#104 | TOV% | #10117.9 |
| 22.4#354 | ORB% | #9828.9 |
| 35.0#178 | FT rate | #12832.8 |
| 9.1#149 | Block% | #3306.4 |
| 53.4#155 | Assist% | #17852.5 |
| 61.0#3 | 2P% | #27253.9 |
| 38.1#17 | 3P% | #13433.2 |
| 78.8#6 | FT% | — |
| 41.2#145 | 3PA rate | #13240.8 |
Austin Peay offense vs Bellarmine defense
| Austin Peay O | Stat | Bellarmine D |
|---|---|---|
| 70.1#89 | Tempo | #28966.1 |
| 53.0#104 | eFG% | #36559.4 |
| 15.4#95 | TOV% | #28715.0 |
| 29.7#215 | ORB% | #32134.2 |
| 37.6#112 | FT rate | #15934.3 |
| 8.7#118 | Block% | #3435.9 |
| 56.0#88 | Assist% | #35361.9 |
| 53.0#127 | 2P% | #35258.1 |
| 35.3#97 | 3P% | #36440.4 |
| 73.4#155 | FT% | — |
| 38.0#215 | 3PA rate | #450.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Bellarmine
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Central Arkansas177 | L 73–86 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Jacksonville230 | W 82–79 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Austin Peay195 | W 111–97 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | North Alabama315 | L 68–73 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Eastern Kentucky283 | L 92–95 |
Austin Peay
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Queens182 | L 83–90 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Stetson267 | W 69–60 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Bellarmine305 | L 97–111 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Central Arkansas177 | L 88–93 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Jacksonville230 | W 65–61 |
