Model line
Central Arkansas −12.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Central Arkansas 90%
Projected tempo
70.6
possessions
Site
Central Arkansas home
10%Win probability90%
The model makes Central Arkansas a 12.1-point favorite, winning about 90 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Florida Gulf Coast offense vs Central Arkansas defense
| Florida Gulf Coast O | Stat | Central Arkansas D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.1#141 | Tempo | #15368.9 |
| 52.0#145 | eFG% | #32654.9 |
| 15.9#130 | TOV% | #5019.0 |
| 31.1#162 | ORB% | #4827.4 |
| 29.1#331 | FT rate | #6030.1 |
| 8.6#109 | Block% | #3176.8 |
| 52.0#191 | Assist% | #35562.3 |
| 53.3#116 | 2P% | #34757.3 |
| 33.2#216 | 3P% | #25535.2 |
| 72.1#202 | FT% | — |
| 38.4#202 | 3PA rate | #252.3 |
Central Arkansas offense vs Florida Gulf Coast defense
| Central Arkansas O | Stat | Florida Gulf Coast D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.9#153 | Tempo | #14169.1 |
| 54.0#69 | eFG% | #27953.4 |
| 15.4#97 | TOV% | #18416.5 |
| 28.8#238 | ORB% | #7128.2 |
| 31.2#276 | FT rate | #26738.3 |
| 10.7#280 | Block% | #8311.1 |
| 58.0#55 | Assist% | #20953.3 |
| 54.7#64 | 2P% | #25853.6 |
| 35.5#89 | 3P% | #27235.4 |
| 70.7#246 | FT% | — |
| 48.7#21 | 3PA rate | #2246.2 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Florida Gulf Coast
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Central Arkansas177 | L 63–73 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Lipscomb199 | W 77–53 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | North Alabama315 | W 69–58 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Stetson267 | L 63–78 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | North Florida321 | L 70–76 |
Central Arkansas
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Queens182 | L 93–98 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Florida Gulf Coast275 | W 73–63 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Bellarmine305 | W 86–73 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Queens182 | W 84–79 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Austin Peay195 | W 93–88 |
