Model line
Central Arkansas −11.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Central Arkansas 88%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Central Arkansas home
12%Win probability88%
The model makes Central Arkansas a 11.1-point favorite, winning about 88 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Stetson offense vs Central Arkansas defense
| Stetson O | Stat | Central Arkansas D |
|---|---|---|
| 67.9#205 | Tempo | #15368.9 |
| 53.1#102 | eFG% | #32654.9 |
| 18.1#281 | TOV% | #5019.0 |
| 26.6#309 | ORB% | #4827.4 |
| 32.4#252 | FT rate | #6030.1 |
| 7.7#42 | Block% | #3176.8 |
| 58.5#50 | Assist% | #35562.3 |
| 52.5#148 | 2P% | #34757.3 |
| 36.0#61 | 3P% | #25535.2 |
| 69.2#295 | FT% | — |
| 44.7#76 | 3PA rate | #252.3 |
Central Arkansas offense vs Stetson defense
| Central Arkansas O | Stat | Stetson D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.9#153 | Tempo | #20567.9 |
| 54.0#69 | eFG% | #33855.2 |
| 15.4#97 | TOV% | #28315.1 |
| 28.8#238 | ORB% | #24931.8 |
| 31.2#276 | FT rate | #7230.4 |
| 10.7#280 | Block% | #3485.8 |
| 58.0#55 | Assist% | #24154.5 |
| 54.7#64 | 2P% | #34957.6 |
| 35.5#89 | 3P% | #22634.6 |
| 70.7#246 | FT% | — |
| 48.7#21 | 3PA rate | #12541.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Stetson
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Austin Peay195 | L 60–69 |
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Eastern Kentucky283 | W 92–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Florida Gulf Coast275 | W 78–63 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | A | Jacksonville230 | L 85–89 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | North Florida321 | W 76–71 |
Central Arkansas
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Queens182 | L 93–98 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Florida Gulf Coast275 | W 73–63 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Bellarmine305 | W 86–73 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Queens182 | W 84–79 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Austin Peay195 | W 93–88 |
