Model line
Central Arkansas −15.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Central Arkansas 95%
Projected tempo
70.9
possessions
Site
Central Arkansas home
5%Win probability95%
The model makes Central Arkansas a 15.3-point favorite, winning about 95 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Texas A&M Commerce offense vs Central Arkansas defense
| Texas A&M Commerce O | Stat | Central Arkansas D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.5#175 | Tempo | #15368.9 |
| 49.2#286 | eFG% | #32654.9 |
| 19.2#330 | TOV% | #5019.0 |
| 25.7#329 | ORB% | #4827.4 |
| 32.0#257 | FT rate | #6030.1 |
| 10.7#287 | Block% | #3176.8 |
| 62.4#14 | Assist% | #35562.3 |
| 51.2#207 | 2P% | #34757.3 |
| 31.3#313 | 3P% | #25535.2 |
| 67.9#328 | FT% | — |
| 46.2#44 | 3PA rate | #252.3 |
Central Arkansas offense vs Texas A&M Commerce defense
| Central Arkansas O | Stat | Texas A&M Commerce D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.9#153 | Tempo | #17568.5 |
| 54.0#69 | eFG% | #26752.9 |
| 15.4#97 | TOV% | #15817.0 |
| 28.8#238 | ORB% | #29332.8 |
| 31.2#276 | FT rate | #16434.5 |
| 10.7#280 | Block% | #2208.6 |
| 58.0#55 | Assist% | #28056.0 |
| 54.7#64 | 2P% | #14451.0 |
| 35.5#89 | 3P% | #34737.3 |
| 70.7#246 | FT% | — |
| 48.7#21 | 3PA rate | #23538.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Texas A&M Commerce
| Mon, Mar 2 | A | Texas A&M Corpus Chris203 | L 71–84 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | UT Rio Grande Valley251 | L 55–63 |
| Mon, Feb 23 | H | Houston Christian253 | L 68–69 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Incarnate Word302 | L 73–82 |
| Mon, Feb 16 | H | Southeastern Louisiana269 | W 70–53 |
Central Arkansas
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Queens182 | L 93–98 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Florida Gulf Coast275 | W 73–63 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Bellarmine305 | W 86–73 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Queens182 | W 84–79 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Austin Peay195 | W 93–88 |
