Model line
Houston −32.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Houston >99%
Projected tempo
69.0
possessions
Site
Houston home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Houston a 32.1-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Central Arkansas offense vs Houston defense
| Central Arkansas O | Stat | Houston D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.9#153 | Tempo | #33264.9 |
| 54.0#69 | eFG% | #1246.0 |
| 15.4#97 | TOV% | #1320.7 |
| 28.8#238 | ORB% | #17230.2 |
| 31.2#276 | FT rate | #27738.6 |
| 10.7#280 | Block% | #3512.6 |
| 58.0#55 | Assist% | #21253.4 |
| 54.7#64 | 2P% | #945.2 |
| 35.5#89 | 3P% | #4531.4 |
| 70.7#246 | FT% | — |
| 48.7#21 | 3PA rate | #11341.4 |
Houston offense vs Central Arkansas defense
| Houston O | Stat | Central Arkansas D |
|---|---|---|
| 64.9#332 | Tempo | #15368.9 |
| 52.2#138 | eFG% | #32654.9 |
| 12.9#5 | TOV% | #5019.0 |
| 36.0#26 | ORB% | #4827.4 |
| 27.0#351 | FT rate | #6030.1 |
| 6.3#6 | Block% | #3176.8 |
| 52.0#192 | Assist% | #35562.3 |
| 52.0#167 | 2P% | #34757.3 |
| 34.9#126 | 3P% | #25535.2 |
| 77.2#29 | FT% | — |
| 40.5#156 | 3PA rate | #252.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Central Arkansas
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Queens182 | L 93–98 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Florida Gulf Coast275 | W 73–63 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Bellarmine305 | W 86–73 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Queens182 | W 84–79 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Austin Peay195 | W 93–88 |
Houston
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Illinois7 | L 55–65 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | Texas A&M33 | W 88–57 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Idaho238 | W 78–47 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Arizona5 | L 74–79 |
| Fri, Mar 13 | N | Kansas8 | W 69–47 |
