Model line
Central Arkansas −1.8
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Central Arkansas 57%
Projected tempo
71.8
possessions
Site
North Florida home
57%Win probability43%
The model makes Central Arkansas a 1.8-point favorite, winning about 57 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Central Arkansas offense vs North Florida defense
| Central Arkansas O | Stat | North Florida D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.9#153 | Tempo | #2572.0 |
| 54.0#69 | eFG% | #34956.3 |
| 15.4#97 | TOV% | #36212.7 |
| 28.8#238 | ORB% | #36137.6 |
| 31.2#276 | FT rate | #9231.4 |
| 10.7#280 | Block% | #3653.5 |
| 58.0#55 | Assist% | #17452.2 |
| 54.7#64 | 2P% | #35858.7 |
| 35.5#89 | 3P% | #25135.1 |
| 70.7#246 | FT% | — |
| 48.7#21 | 3PA rate | #20339.0 |
North Florida offense vs Central Arkansas defense
| North Florida O | Stat | Central Arkansas D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.0#25 | Tempo | #15368.9 |
| 52.9#107 | eFG% | #32654.9 |
| 17.9#265 | TOV% | #5019.0 |
| 25.2#335 | ORB% | #4827.4 |
| 28.8#333 | FT rate | #6030.1 |
| 12.6#352 | Block% | #3176.8 |
| 50.6#229 | Assist% | #35562.3 |
| 53.4#111 | 2P% | #34757.3 |
| 35.0#118 | 3P% | #25535.2 |
| 77.8#22 | FT% | — |
| 51.7#7 | 3PA rate | #252.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Central Arkansas
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Queens182 | L 93–98 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Florida Gulf Coast275 | W 73–63 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Bellarmine305 | W 86–73 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Queens182 | W 84–79 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Austin Peay195 | W 93–88 |
North Florida
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | West Georgia322 | L 85–93 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Jacksonville230 | L 61–85 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Florida Gulf Coast275 | W 76–70 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Stetson267 | L 71–76 |
| Thu, Feb 19 | H | Austin Peay195 | L 76–77 |
