Model line
Jacksonville −4.5
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Jacksonville 68%
Projected tempo
69.6
possessions
Site
Jacksonville home
32%Win probability68%
The model makes Jacksonville a 4.5-point favorite, winning about 68 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Central Arkansas offense vs Jacksonville defense
| Central Arkansas O | Stat | Jacksonville D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.9#153 | Tempo | #32765.2 |
| 54.0#69 | eFG% | #32554.8 |
| 15.4#97 | TOV% | #28915.0 |
| 28.8#238 | ORB% | #11129.1 |
| 31.2#276 | FT rate | #33642.7 |
| 10.7#280 | Block% | #2618.0 |
| 58.0#55 | Assist% | #13650.8 |
| 54.7#64 | 2P% | #31055.0 |
| 35.5#89 | 3P% | #31736.3 |
| 70.7#246 | FT% | — |
| 48.7#21 | 3PA rate | #31335.2 |
Jacksonville offense vs Central Arkansas defense
| Jacksonville O | Stat | Central Arkansas D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.2#327 | Tempo | #15368.9 |
| 50.0#235 | eFG% | #32654.9 |
| 17.2#217 | TOV% | #5019.0 |
| 31.7#135 | ORB% | #4827.4 |
| 32.8#239 | FT rate | #6030.1 |
| 7.5#30 | Block% | #3176.8 |
| 44.7#338 | Assist% | #35562.3 |
| 51.5#191 | 2P% | #34757.3 |
| 31.7#292 | 3P% | #25535.2 |
| 72.3#195 | FT% | — |
| 37.4#223 | 3PA rate | #252.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Central Arkansas
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Queens182 | L 93–98 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Florida Gulf Coast275 | W 73–63 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Bellarmine305 | W 86–73 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Queens182 | W 84–79 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Austin Peay195 | W 93–88 |
Jacksonville
| Wed, Mar 4 | N | Bellarmine305 | L 79–82 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | North Florida321 | W 85–61 |
| Thu, Feb 26 | H | Stetson267 | W 89–85 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Austin Peay195 | L 61–65 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Florida Gulf Coast275 | L 84–86 |
