Model line
Arkansas −29.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Arkansas >99%
Projected tempo
71.8
possessions
Site
Arkansas home
<1%Win probability>99%
The model makes Arkansas a 29.6-point favorite, winning more than 99 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Central Arkansas offense vs Arkansas defense
| Central Arkansas O | Stat | Arkansas D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.9#153 | Tempo | #1372.7 |
| 54.0#69 | eFG% | #17751.4 |
| 15.4#97 | TOV% | #24415.6 |
| 28.8#238 | ORB% | #19831.0 |
| 31.2#276 | FT rate | #6630.3 |
| 10.7#280 | Block% | #2313.1 |
| 58.0#55 | Assist% | #10549.8 |
| 54.7#64 | 2P% | #27654.0 |
| 35.5#89 | 3P% | #4731.5 |
| 70.7#246 | FT% | — |
| 48.7#21 | 3PA rate | #21038.7 |
Arkansas offense vs Central Arkansas defense
| Arkansas O | Stat | Central Arkansas D |
|---|---|---|
| 72.7#13 | Tempo | #15368.9 |
| 56.5#17 | eFG% | #32654.9 |
| 12.2#1 | TOV% | #5019.0 |
| 32.1#120 | ORB% | #4827.4 |
| 35.8#160 | FT rate | #6030.1 |
| 6.4#8 | Block% | #3176.8 |
| 53.4#154 | Assist% | #35562.3 |
| 55.8#44 | 2P% | #34757.3 |
| 38.7#9 | 3P% | #25535.2 |
| 75.0#79 | FT% | — |
| 32.9#316 | 3PA rate | #252.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Central Arkansas
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Queens182 | L 93–98 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Florida Gulf Coast275 | W 73–63 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Bellarmine305 | W 86–73 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Queens182 | W 84–79 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Austin Peay195 | W 93–88 |
Arkansas
| Thu, Mar 26 | N | Arizona5 | L 88–109 |
| Sat, Mar 21 | N | High Point61 | W 94–88 |
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Hawaii132 | W 97–78 |
| Sun, Mar 15 | N | Vanderbilt21 | W 86–75 |
| Sat, Mar 14 | N | Ole Miss49 | W 93–90 |
