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2026–27 college basketball / matchup

Tulsa · #104 · Amer · 0–0San Francisco · #165 · WCC · 0–0Mon, Dec 21 · 4:00 PM ETComerica Center · Frisco, TX
Model line
Tulsa −5.9
Win probability
Tulsa 73%
Projected tempo
70.5
possessions
Site
Neutral
73%Win probability27%

The model makes Tulsa a 5.9-point favorite, winning about 73 times in 100.

Offense vs defense

Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.

Tulsa offense vs San Francisco defense

Tulsa OStatSan Francisco D
68.6#167Tempo#26066.7
56.0#23eFG%#14750.8
15.3#91TOV%#33314.1
32.7#98ORB%#10129.0
41.6#38FT rate#5329.6
10.0#243Block%#2777.7
55.6#99Assist%#18952.6
53.9#882P%#12350.6
39.0#53P%#18834.1
78.3#14FT%—
46.6#363PA rate#29635.8

San Francisco offense vs Tulsa defense

San Francisco OStatTulsa D
66.7#260Tempo#16768.6
51.2#186eFG%#10150.0
15.8#124TOV%#24815.6
31.3#153ORB%#11729.1
40.1#59FT rate#9831.6
8.7#125Block%#3266.6
55.6#98Assist%#9849.3
50.7#2262P%#9649.9
34.6#1443P%#14833.4
70.9#241FT%—
46.1#463PA rate#15440.3

Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.

Last 5 games

H home · A away · N neutral site.

Tulsa

Sun, Apr 5NAuburn27L 86–92
Thu, Apr 2NNew Mexico66W 74–69
Tue, Mar 24HWichita St.80W 83–79
Sun, Mar 22HUNLV89W 77–66
Tue, Mar 17HStephen F. Austin139W 89–84

San Francisco

Sun, Mar 8NOregon St.93L 77–78
Sat, Mar 7NPortland181W 82–65
Sat, Feb 28APacific141W 72–61
Sat, Feb 21HSanta Clara86L 73–94
Wed, Feb 18HGonzaga17L 59–80