Model line
Oregon St. −6.7
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Oregon St. 76%
Projected tempo
70.0
possessions
Site
Neutral
76%Win probability24%
The model makes Oregon St. a 6.7-point favorite, winning about 76 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Oregon St. offense vs San Francisco defense
| Oregon St. O | Stat | San Francisco D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#286 | Tempo | #26066.7 |
| 50.5#216 | eFG% | #14750.8 |
| 17.7#252 | TOV% | #33314.1 |
| 26.8#304 | ORB% | #10129.0 |
| 43.1#21 | FT rate | #5329.6 |
| 9.3#165 | Block% | #2777.7 |
| 61.2#23 | Assist% | #18952.6 |
| 48.8#288 | 2P% | #12350.6 |
| 35.0#120 | 3P% | #18834.1 |
| 77.2#30 | FT% | — |
| 44.3#85 | 3PA rate | #29635.8 |
San Francisco offense vs Oregon St. defense
| San Francisco O | Stat | Oregon St. D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#260 | Tempo | #28666.2 |
| 51.2#186 | eFG% | #11850.3 |
| 15.8#124 | TOV% | #26815.3 |
| 31.3#153 | ORB% | #26332.1 |
| 40.1#59 | FT rate | #18035.1 |
| 8.7#125 | Block% | #10410.7 |
| 55.6#98 | Assist% | #27255.7 |
| 50.7#226 | 2P% | #14251.0 |
| 34.6#144 | 3P% | #11532.9 |
| 70.9#241 | FT% | — |
| 46.1#46 | 3PA rate | #10941.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Oregon St.
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Gonzaga17 | L 56–65 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | San Francisco165 | W 78–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Santa Clara86 | L 72–93 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | San Diego157 | W 92–82 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Pepperdine154 | W 83–73 |
San Francisco
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Oregon St.93 | L 77–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Portland181 | W 82–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Pacific141 | W 72–61 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Santa Clara86 | L 73–94 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Gonzaga17 | L 59–80 |
