Model line
San Diego −5.1
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
San Diego 70%
Projected tempo
69.9
possessions
Site
San Diego home
30%Win probability70%
The model makes San Diego a 5.1-point favorite, winning about 70 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Pacific offense vs San Diego defense
| Pacific O | Stat | San Diego D |
|---|---|---|
| 65.8#306 | Tempo | #16168.8 |
| 52.2#142 | eFG% | #32354.7 |
| 20.1#349 | TOV% | #5518.9 |
| 35.3#42 | ORB% | #32734.5 |
| 30.5#296 | FT rate | #28238.8 |
| 10.6#279 | Block% | #2927.5 |
| 58.0#56 | Assist% | #30457.3 |
| 51.3#200 | 2P% | #35658.5 |
| 35.8#70 | 3P% | #10332.7 |
| 75.5#66 | FT% | — |
| 35.3#267 | 3PA rate | #16040.1 |
San Diego offense vs Pacific defense
| San Diego O | Stat | Pacific D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#161 | Tempo | #30665.8 |
| 51.2#185 | eFG% | #9950.0 |
| 17.5#237 | TOV% | #28115.1 |
| 28.1#265 | ORB% | #925.0 |
| 25.8#358 | FT rate | #22336.3 |
| 10.1#248 | Block% | #3146.9 |
| 59.1#40 | Assist% | #13250.7 |
| 50.8#220 | 2P% | #5048.5 |
| 34.6#143 | 3P% | #23134.7 |
| 74.7#95 | FT% | — |
| 43.7#98 | 3PA rate | #7642.8 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Pacific
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Santa Clara86 | L 68–76 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Seattle115 | W 61–58 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | San Francisco165 | L 61–72 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Gonzaga17 | L 62–71 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Washington St.131 | L 70–87 |
San Diego
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Seattle115 | L 56–58 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Loyola Marymount136 | W 66–62 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Portland181 | L 74–87 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Oregon St.93 | L 82–92 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Loyola Marymount136 | L 65–77 |
