Model line
San Diego −3.3
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
San Diego 64%
Projected tempo
70.7
possessions
Site
San Diego home
37%Win probability64%
The model makes San Diego a 3.3-point favorite, winning about 64 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Seattle offense vs San Diego defense
| Seattle O | Stat | San Diego D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.7#165 | Tempo | #16168.8 |
| 49.3#280 | eFG% | #32354.7 |
| 17.0#204 | TOV% | #5518.9 |
| 24.3#346 | ORB% | #32734.5 |
| 34.7#193 | FT rate | #28238.8 |
| 9.3#168 | Block% | #2927.5 |
| 53.5#151 | Assist% | #30457.3 |
| 49.2#276 | 2P% | #35658.5 |
| 32.9#238 | 3P% | #10332.7 |
| 70.7#251 | FT% | — |
| 39.0#191 | 3PA rate | #16040.1 |
San Diego offense vs Seattle defense
| San Diego O | Stat | Seattle D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#161 | Tempo | #16568.7 |
| 51.2#185 | eFG% | #4148.1 |
| 17.5#237 | TOV% | #621.4 |
| 28.1#265 | ORB% | #24831.8 |
| 25.8#358 | FT rate | #11332.3 |
| 10.1#248 | Block% | #1414.0 |
| 59.1#40 | Assist% | #23254.2 |
| 50.8#220 | 2P% | #4448.2 |
| 34.6#143 | 3P% | #6532.0 |
| 74.7#95 | FT% | — |
| 43.7#98 | 3PA rate | #25037.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Seattle
| Sun, Mar 22 | A | Auburn27 | L 85–91 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | St. Thomas162 | W 67–52 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Pacific141 | L 58–61 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | San Diego157 | W 58–56 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Loyola Marymount136 | W 71–66 |
San Diego
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Seattle115 | L 56–58 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Loyola Marymount136 | W 66–62 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Portland181 | L 74–87 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Oregon St.93 | L 82–92 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Loyola Marymount136 | L 65–77 |
