Model line
San Francisco −2.9
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
San Francisco 62%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
San Francisco home
38%Win probability62%
The model makes San Francisco a 2.9-point favorite, winning about 62 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Seattle offense vs San Francisco defense
| Seattle O | Stat | San Francisco D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.7#165 | Tempo | #26066.7 |
| 49.3#280 | eFG% | #14750.8 |
| 17.0#204 | TOV% | #33314.1 |
| 24.3#346 | ORB% | #10129.0 |
| 34.7#193 | FT rate | #5329.6 |
| 9.3#168 | Block% | #2777.7 |
| 53.5#151 | Assist% | #18952.6 |
| 49.2#276 | 2P% | #12350.6 |
| 32.9#238 | 3P% | #18834.1 |
| 70.7#251 | FT% | — |
| 39.0#191 | 3PA rate | #29635.8 |
San Francisco offense vs Seattle defense
| San Francisco O | Stat | Seattle D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.7#260 | Tempo | #16568.7 |
| 51.2#186 | eFG% | #4148.1 |
| 15.8#124 | TOV% | #621.4 |
| 31.3#153 | ORB% | #24831.8 |
| 40.1#59 | FT rate | #11332.3 |
| 8.7#125 | Block% | #1414.0 |
| 55.6#98 | Assist% | #23254.2 |
| 50.7#226 | 2P% | #4448.2 |
| 34.6#144 | 3P% | #6532.0 |
| 70.9#241 | FT% | — |
| 46.1#46 | 3PA rate | #25037.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Seattle
| Sun, Mar 22 | A | Auburn27 | L 85–91 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | St. Thomas162 | W 67–52 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Pacific141 | L 58–61 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | San Diego157 | W 58–56 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Loyola Marymount136 | W 71–66 |
San Francisco
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Oregon St.93 | L 77–78 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Portland181 | W 82–65 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Pacific141 | W 72–61 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Santa Clara86 | L 73–94 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | H | Gonzaga17 | L 59–80 |
