Model line
Santa Clara −7.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Santa Clara 79%
Projected tempo
71.0
possessions
Site
Santa Clara home
21%Win probability79%
The model makes Santa Clara a 7.6-point favorite, winning about 79 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Saint Mary's offense vs Santa Clara defense
| Saint Mary's O | Stat | Santa Clara D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#287 | Tempo | #11669.5 |
| 52.8#111 | eFG% | #21552.0 |
| 16.8#185 | TOV% | #2719.9 |
| 37.5#15 | ORB% | #26432.1 |
| 35.5#164 | FT rate | #26638.2 |
| 8.8#136 | Block% | #11410.5 |
| 57.8#60 | Assist% | #33960.4 |
| 49.8#262 | 2P% | #25353.5 |
| 38.7#10 | 3P% | #12833.1 |
| 80.3#2 | FT% | — |
| 36.4#242 | 3PA rate | #21938.4 |
Santa Clara offense vs Saint Mary's defense
| Santa Clara O | Stat | Saint Mary's D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.5#116 | Tempo | #28766.2 |
| 54.4#56 | eFG% | #2046.8 |
| 15.4#101 | TOV% | #27215.2 |
| 36.4#21 | ORB% | #423.9 |
| 25.5#363 | FT rate | #1125.7 |
| 9.0#148 | Block% | #1579.7 |
| 55.0#115 | Assist% | #20453.1 |
| 56.1#42 | 2P% | #2346.7 |
| 34.9#128 | 3P% | #4131.3 |
| 74.4#108 | FT% | — |
| 45.0#67 | 3PA rate | #26237.0 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Saint Mary's
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Texas A&M33 | L 50–63 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Santa Clara86 | L 71–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Gonzaga17 | W 70–59 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Santa Clara86 | W 86–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Washington St.131 | W 83–67 |
Santa Clara
| Fri, Mar 20 | N | Kentucky20 | L 84–89 |
| Tue, Mar 10 | N | Gonzaga17 | L 68–79 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Saint Mary's74 | W 76–71 |
| Sun, Mar 8 | N | Pacific141 | W 76–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Oregon St.93 | W 93–72 |
