Model line
Saint Mary's −12.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Saint Mary's 90%
Projected tempo
70.3
possessions
Site
Saint Mary's home
10%Win probability90%
The model makes Saint Mary's a 12.2-point favorite, winning about 90 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Seattle offense vs Saint Mary's defense
| Seattle O | Stat | Saint Mary's D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.7#165 | Tempo | #28766.2 |
| 49.3#280 | eFG% | #2046.8 |
| 17.0#204 | TOV% | #27215.2 |
| 24.3#346 | ORB% | #423.9 |
| 34.7#193 | FT rate | #1125.7 |
| 9.3#168 | Block% | #1579.7 |
| 53.5#151 | Assist% | #20453.1 |
| 49.2#276 | 2P% | #2346.7 |
| 32.9#238 | 3P% | #4131.3 |
| 70.7#251 | FT% | — |
| 39.0#191 | 3PA rate | #26237.0 |
Saint Mary's offense vs Seattle defense
| Saint Mary's O | Stat | Seattle D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#287 | Tempo | #16568.7 |
| 52.8#111 | eFG% | #4148.1 |
| 16.8#185 | TOV% | #621.4 |
| 37.5#15 | ORB% | #24831.8 |
| 35.5#164 | FT rate | #11332.3 |
| 8.8#136 | Block% | #1414.0 |
| 57.8#60 | Assist% | #23254.2 |
| 49.8#262 | 2P% | #4448.2 |
| 38.7#10 | 3P% | #6532.0 |
| 80.3#2 | FT% | — |
| 36.4#242 | 3PA rate | #25037.5 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Seattle
| Sun, Mar 22 | A | Auburn27 | L 85–91 |
| Tue, Mar 17 | H | St. Thomas162 | W 67–52 |
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | Pacific141 | L 58–61 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | San Diego157 | W 58–56 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Loyola Marymount136 | W 71–66 |
Saint Mary's
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Texas A&M33 | L 50–63 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Santa Clara86 | L 71–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Gonzaga17 | W 70–59 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Santa Clara86 | W 86–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Washington St.131 | W 83–67 |
