Model line
Saint Mary's −15.6
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Saint Mary's 95%
Projected tempo
70.4
possessions
Site
Saint Mary's home
5%Win probability95%
The model makes Saint Mary's a 15.6-point favorite, winning about 95 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
Pepperdine offense vs Saint Mary's defense
| Pepperdine O | Stat | Saint Mary's D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.4#122 | Tempo | #28766.2 |
| 47.6#322 | eFG% | #2046.8 |
| 18.3#289 | TOV% | #27215.2 |
| 29.1#233 | ORB% | #423.9 |
| 33.8#218 | FT rate | #1125.7 |
| 10.7#285 | Block% | #1579.7 |
| 56.2#84 | Assist% | #20453.1 |
| 48.0#311 | 2P% | #2346.7 |
| 31.4#311 | 3P% | #4131.3 |
| 75.8#59 | FT% | — |
| 39.2#187 | 3PA rate | #26237.0 |
Saint Mary's offense vs Pepperdine defense
| Saint Mary's O | Stat | Pepperdine D |
|---|---|---|
| 66.2#287 | Tempo | #12269.4 |
| 52.8#111 | eFG% | #30554.2 |
| 16.8#185 | TOV% | #18816.5 |
| 37.5#15 | ORB% | #31834.0 |
| 35.5#164 | FT rate | #3528.5 |
| 8.8#136 | Block% | #2917.5 |
| 57.8#60 | Assist% | #28656.1 |
| 49.8#262 | 2P% | #30854.9 |
| 38.7#10 | 3P% | #28435.5 |
| 80.3#2 | FT% | — |
| 36.4#242 | 3PA rate | #15340.3 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
Pepperdine
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Portland181 | L 68–77 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Washington St.131 | W 88–79 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Seattle115 | L 80–87 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Oregon St.93 | L 73–83 |
| Wed, Feb 18 | A | Portland181 | W 95–87 |
Saint Mary's
| Thu, Mar 19 | N | Texas A&M33 | L 50–63 |
| Mon, Mar 9 | N | Santa Clara86 | L 71–76 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | Gonzaga17 | W 70–59 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | H | Santa Clara86 | W 86–67 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | A | Washington St.131 | W 83–67 |
