Model line
Portland −6.2
2026–27 college basketball / matchup
Win probability
Portland 74%
Projected tempo
71.1
possessions
Site
Portland home
26%Win probability74%
The model makes Portland a 6.2-point favorite, winning about 74 times in 100.
Offense vs defense
Each offense against the other team's defense. Small numbers are national ranks; the better rank in each row is bold.
San Diego offense vs Portland defense
| San Diego O | Stat | Portland D |
|---|---|---|
| 68.8#161 | Tempo | #10569.7 |
| 51.2#185 | eFG% | #25652.7 |
| 17.5#237 | TOV% | #15417.0 |
| 28.1#265 | ORB% | #28432.5 |
| 25.8#358 | FT rate | #11932.6 |
| 10.1#248 | Block% | #2088.8 |
| 59.1#40 | Assist% | #36366.7 |
| 50.8#220 | 2P% | #16051.4 |
| 34.6#143 | 3P% | #30736.1 |
| 74.7#95 | FT% | — |
| 43.7#98 | 3PA rate | #2545.6 |
Portland offense vs San Diego defense
| Portland O | Stat | San Diego D |
|---|---|---|
| 69.7#105 | Tempo | #16168.8 |
| 51.2#184 | eFG% | #32354.7 |
| 19.7#342 | TOV% | #5518.9 |
| 28.1#264 | ORB% | #32734.5 |
| 34.4#199 | FT rate | #28238.8 |
| 6.4#10 | Block% | #2927.5 |
| 61.6#20 | Assist% | #30457.3 |
| 54.7#65 | 2P% | #35658.5 |
| 29.9#344 | 3P% | #10332.7 |
| 74.0#138 | FT% | — |
| 35.4#266 | 3PA rate | #16040.1 |
Team stats from the 2025–26 season, the same inputs the model uses for these ratings.
Last 5 games
H home · A away · N neutral site.
San Diego
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Seattle115 | L 56–58 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Loyola Marymount136 | W 66–62 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | A | Portland181 | L 74–87 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Oregon St.93 | L 82–92 |
| Sat, Feb 21 | H | Loyola Marymount136 | L 65–77 |
Portland
| Sat, Mar 7 | N | San Francisco165 | L 65–82 |
| Fri, Mar 6 | N | Washington St.131 | W 74–68 |
| Thu, Mar 5 | N | Pepperdine154 | W 77–68 |
| Sat, Feb 28 | H | San Diego157 | W 87–74 |
| Wed, Feb 25 | A | Gonzaga17 | L 48–89 |
